IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.2	#121
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.6	#241
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.8	#138

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.4	#99

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	1.0%	0.4%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.4%	11.9%	4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	6.1%	8.0%	2.2%
Average Seed	10.3	10.1	11.3

.500 or above	62.2%	71.3%	43.0%
.500 or above in Conference	58.2%	64.0%	45.8%
Conference Champion	2.8%	3.5%	1.3%
Last Place in Conference	5.4%	3.7%	8.8%

First Four	2.4%	3.1%	1.0%
First Round	8.1%	10.4%	3.3%
Second Round	2.7%	3.8%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	1.0%	1.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.4%	0.6%	0.1%
Final Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Weber St. (Home) - 68.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.3 - 3.3	0.3 - 3.3
Quad 1b	0.6 - 2.3	0.9 - 5.6
Quad 2	1.9 - 3.3	2.8 - 8.9
Quad 3	5.0 - 3.6	7.7 - 12.5
Quad 4	8.1 - 1.7	15.9 - 14.1

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	147	Weber St.	W	71-69	68%
Nov 09, 2018	131	@ UC Davis	W	68-67	42%
Nov 12, 2018	42	@ Washington	L	68-75	18%
Nov 20, 2018	84	Colorado	L	67-70	51%
Nov 24, 2018	335	Jackson St.	W	71-56	95%
Nov 28, 2018	118	@ Mississippi	L	73-74	39%
Dec 01, 2018	189	Long Beach St.	W	76-72	74%
Dec 05, 2018	45	@ San Diego St.	L	66-73	20%
Dec 09, 2018	342	Cal St. Northridge	W	75-58	96%
Dec 12, 2018	17	@ Oregon	L	64-74	13%
Dec 15, 2018	172	Northern Colorado	W	74-70	71%
Dec 22, 2018	191	Washington St.	W	75-70	65%
Dec 23, 2018	202	Drake	W	72-67	68%
Dec 29, 2018	114	Grand Canyon	L	68-69	59%
Jan 03, 2019	217	@ Santa Clara	W	69-63	62%
Jan 05, 2019	168	Pacific	W	70-67	71%
Jan 12, 2019	234	Pepperdine	W	75-68	81%
Jan 17, 2019	241	@ Portland	W	73-65	65%
Jan 19, 2019	59	@ St. Mary's	L	64-70	23%
Jan 24, 2019	165	Loyola Marymount	W	72-69	70%
Jan 26, 2019	137	San Francisco	W	67-66	63%
Feb 02, 2019	5	@ Gonzaga	L	65-80	7%
Feb 07, 2019	165	@ Loyola Marymount	W	72-69	51%
Feb 09, 2019	234	@ Pepperdine	W	75-68	64%
Feb 14, 2019	63	BYU	L	66-71	43%
Feb 16, 2019	5	Gonzaga	L	65-80	17%
Feb 21, 2019	241	Portland	W	73-65	81%
Feb 23, 2019	59	St. Mary's	L	64-70	42%
Feb 28, 2019	137	@ San Francisco	W	67-66	43%
Mar 02, 2019	63	@ BYU	L	66-71	26%
Projected Record						15.9 - 14.1	8.1 - 7.9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.1	0.9	0.4	0.0		2.8	1st
2nd									0.0	0.2	1.1	3.2	3.9	2.2	0.5				11.0	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.4	2.6	6.2	4.3	1.4	0.1					14.8	3rd
4th							0.0	0.6	4.5	7.5	4.3	0.7	0.0						17.6	4th
5th							0.5	4.2	6.6	2.9	0.3	0.0							14.5	5th
6th						0.5	3.8	6.1	2.2	0.2									12.8	6th
7th				0.0	0.4	3.1	5.6	1.8	0.2										11.0	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	2.5	3.8	1.0	0.1											7.7	8th
9th		0.0	0.3	1.5	2.2	0.7	0.0	0.0											4.8	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.7	0.4	0.0													2.7	10th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.3	2.5	5.5	8.2	10.9	12.8	13.8	13.4	11.9	8.2	5.6	3.3	1.5	0.4	0.0			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
14-2	63.1%	0.9		0.5	0.4	0.0
13-3	32.7%	1.1		0.3	0.6	0.1	0.0
12-4	5.5%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-5	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	2.8%	2.8		1.3	1.3	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%		69.0%	60.9%	8.0%	6.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0								0.0		20.6%
15-1	0.4%		86.6%	21.6%	64.9%	6.2			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		82.9%
14-2	1.5%		83.2%	24.9%	58.4%	7.4		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.2		77.7%
13-3	3.3%		62.3%	14.7%	47.6%	9.3				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0			1.2		55.8%
12-4	5.6%		35.2%	7.6%	27.6%	10.3					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		3.6		29.9%
11-5	8.2%		16.5%	4.4%	12.1%	11.0						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		6.9		12.7%
10-6	11.9%		8.6%	4.9%	3.7%	11.9									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	10.8		3.9%
9-7	13.4%		4.0%	2.6%	1.4%	12.5										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.9		1.4%
8-8	13.8%		3.1%	2.9%	0.2%	13.4											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	13.4		0.2%
7-9	12.8%		1.2%	1.2%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	12.7
6-10	10.9%		0.9%	0.9%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.8
5-11	8.2%		1.1%	1.1%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	8.1
4-12	5.5%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0															0.0		0.0	5.5
3-13	2.5%		0.0%	0.0%		15.5																0.0	0.0	2.5
2-14	1.3%																							1.3
1-15	0.5%																							0.5
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		9.4%	3.5%	5.9%	10.3		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.7	0.9	1.5	2.0	1.4	0.8	0.3	0.2	0.2	90.6		6.1%